UFC 234 is set to occur less than two weeks from today at Rod Laver Arena at Melbourne, Australia. Together with the card quickly coming up, there have unfortunately been some accidents and a few fights are affected. Here is an update on the latest struggles for UFC 234 in today’s MMA odds and ends.
Sam Alvey vs. Jimmy Crute, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Ryan Spann, Sam Alvey has stepped on short notice and will take on rising prospect Jimmy Crute in a light heavyweight conflict. News of the new matchup was first shown by news.com.au.
Alvey (33-11, 1 NC) is 10-6 overall at the UFC while splitting his time between middleweight and light heavyweight. Since going up to 205lbs, Alvey has gone 2-1 with wins over Gian Villante and Marcin Prachnio along with a sudden TKO loss to Antonio Rogerio Nogueira in his final struggle. Alvey has settled into the role of gatekeeper, and despite the loss to Nogueira he stays a stern test for any up-and-coming in the light heavyweight division, making Crute the most ideal opponent. Note that Alvey was initially set to fight Gadzhimurad Antigulov in UFC Fight Night 145 prior to being pulled with this matchup.
Crute (9-0) looked fantastic in his UFC debut because he filed Paul Craig. He’s only 22-years old and has tons of assurance as an undefeated potential. He’s the native and has all of the pressure on himbut he hasn’t shown any signs of not being able to live up to the hype. From all accounts, Crute looks like he has a few of the qualities of a future light heavyweight title contender.
In terms of the chances, Crute was a +110 underdog against Ryan Spann, but I would have bet him those chances as I watched value there. Against Alvey, I really don’t find any reason Crute would not be a big favorite. I’d peg him around -300 inside this fight, and I see him beating Alvey and continuing his march towards the top-15 ranks.
Callan Potter vs. Jalin Turner, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Alex Gorgees, Callan Potter will make his UFC debut on short notice when he takes on Jalin Turner in UFC 234. Nolan King broke the information.
Potter (16-7) is a local Aussie fighter and has been riding an eight-fight win series prior to being filed by Marcin Held in ACB in his last struggle. He really has quite a bit of experience, having fought Jake Matthews earlier in his career. But he’s got no notable wins. Be aware that all of Potter’s fights have finished within the distance — win or lose.
Turner (7-4) was knocked out by Vicente Luque in his UFC debut. That was definitely going to be a difficult matchup for Turner, and I’m still not sure why the UFC set him up as a sacrificial lamb there. All seven of Turner’s career wins have come by stoppage, though he has been knocked out three times himself which is of course concerning.
Turner is the larger name and also had a complete camp so I do expect him to be preferred, but I think Potter has a fairly good chance . However, this might be a struggle where the props might be the best bet, along with the prop I’ll be on the lookout for is the struggle ending inside the distance, as I fully expect someone to get knocked out.
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