The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and every corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next success of this 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and is listed at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are just six drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven pc model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into consideration.

The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists in McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For Sundaywe can inform you the model is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this course among busy NASCAR drivers. That comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the pack from the ninth starting position because race also has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this season too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third in Atlanta.

Along with a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites in 12-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better values than the 12-1 premium he’s controlling.

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